Probability of Filling Out a Perfect Bracket


Kurt Bouwhuis, Mackinac Center Intern

The Wall Street Journal Online hosted an article on the mathematics behind the perfect NCAA men’s college basketball tournament bracket.  Assuming that each game were a true toss-up, the probability of filling one out with 100% accuracy would be one in nine million trillion!

Yes, nine million trillion.

In the real world, with the aid of information, we can increase our chances to about one in 150 million.

Check out the entire article here: http://www.stat.yale.edu/~jay/News/WSJbb.pdf

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